2011 Roundup! The Big Money U missed Out

  
I have taken sometime to recap on opportunities that came to us in 2011 through DSE. Most of you guys missed out. You could not spare some pennies for this lifetime opportunity of owning part of efficient running and profitable companies. If you find out that this year was not for you next year will be there for you. But remember procrastination is the mother of all misses. However, you must understand that what happened in this year will not take the same trend next year it will be in some other ways!


Winners: 


DCB:  Up 129%. Dar es Salaam Community Bank was the best performer stock in 2011, It has gained from Tsh 280 per share in January 2011 through TSh. 640 per share in December 2011. I advised my followers to take an aggressive position with this stock in February 2011.

TCC: UP 39%. Tanzania Cigarete Company was the second best performing stock though far behind DCB. The shares have moved from price of Tsh.2,260 in January to Tsh 3,140 in December 2011.

SWISSPORT: UP 37%. This Airport handling company has being performing well and has good dividend policy which attracts dividend focused investors. However, monopoly enjoyed by the company has being endangered by new entrants that will be handling for Precision Air Services and other carriers.The company's shares moved from TSh600 in January to 820 in December 2011.

CRDB: UP 33%. The bank performed well in this year although the share price has fallen from the highest price of Tsh 225. Shares were priced at TSh. 130 in January and Tsh 173 in December 2011. Many investors shun bank shares because they are scared of the turbulent financial markets. Inflation, weakening and unstable local currencies, high borrowing costs and risks of loan default are among challenges facing financial institutions in the region currently.

NMB: UP 29%. NMB is the most extensive bank in Tanzania covering all districts and regional centers. Earlier loss making institution transformed to a profitable bank after being privatized to the most respected private bank, Rabo Bank. Banks financials have stabilized and profitability of the bank has being impressive. However, it has not being spared from current challenges facing financial institutions.

SIMBA: UP 25%. Tanga based Cement manufacturing company has performed well on the market this year. High growth in Construction industry comes with great potential in profitability and stability of this company. Growing competition from new entrants in Tanga, ARM and expected plant in Mtwara region by Dangote group poses a great challenge to the current cement manufacturers in Tanzania.

TWIGA: UP 16%. Cement Manufacturing company

TBL: UP 12%. Largest brewer in Tanzania.

Lossers:


TATEPA: DOWN 56%. This is the biggest losser for this year from the price of TSh.600 per share in January to Tsh 265 in December 2011.

Would you have invested One million TZS in each of the above eight highlighted stocks you will have realized 45% average return on your potifolio. And if you invested in the best 3 performers your potifolio would have resulted into a killing 68% average return. What if you invested TZS 100 million into DCB? This alone would have turned into TZS 228.5 million. Definitely, this is how millionaires get born!

Dar es Salaam Stock Exchange in average was the best Market in the region in this year. Nairobi and Uganda Stock exchanges have had their bad times throughout the year. Some stocks on NSE lost to the level of 88%. For investors in Tanzania Nairobi Stock exchange presents a strategic investment in 2011 and 2012 due to lower levels of valuation. Election in mid next year will make foreign investors in NSE sell off and hence push the NSE all share index further dip which will result to bargain stocks.

By: Emmanuel Akyoo

Precision Air Services Starts trading on DSE!

After poor IPO performance which ended with gross under subscription of fifty eight percent Precision Air Services have successfully registered on the Dar es Salaam bourse for trading.Precision air started trading at TZS495 which is 4.2% above the IPO price of TZS 475. Besides raising additional capital PAL intended to lift its image and credibility to stakeholders through registering on the DSE. Precision Air Services raised TZS 11 billion out of TZS 28 billion which they intended to raise through the IPO. It is however explained that the IPO was ill timed just before TBL Mini IPO which caught more of investors attention. Besides bad timing PAL shares where valued higher than many investors had anticipated.
   Precision Air Services has however confirmed to investors that it will continue to pursue her expansion plan and will cover the capital dificit via potential investors who have shown interest to inves in the company and other available means.
   Airline industry is faced with rising fuel prices and foreign exchange risks.But the good news is that Africa has high rate of growth in passengers volume in the aviation industry. Would Sub saharan Africa airlines withstand this era of market pressure and economic crisis in Eurozone a great future lies ahead.
  Also, PAL is facing competition from other East African carriers which are vieing for stake in the same market. Airlines like Fly540, Coastal,Air Uganda,Rwandair, Safariplus and Air Tanzania are fighting for a slice from the same piece of cake. The strategic aliance with Kenya Airways gives PAL an advantage over other carriers especially for the connecting passangers.
  We are looking forward to see other airlines follow the footsteps of PAL and KA in registering and involving public in their investments. Finnally, I wish PAL a good and bright business future.

By: Emmanuel Akyoo

Facebook Beats CocaCola!

Coca-Cola 
Originally intended as a patent medicine when it was invented in the late 19th century by John Pemberton, Coca-Cola was bought out by businessman Asa Griggs Candler, whose marketing tactics led Coke to its dominance of the world soft-drink market throughout the 20th century. Coca-Cola company currently trading at New York Stock Exchange(NSE) is valued at USD 99.5 billions.

Facebook 
"The Facebook" was started in 2004 as students social networking platform by Havard University dropout  Mark Zuckerberg. Since then facebook has been expanding exponentially. Currently, facebook is boasting of its 800 million accounts of its active users. Facebook has revolved to become a must use tool to advertisers and social net-workers. Facebook is planning to file for IPO before April 2012 with valuation of about USD 100 billions. This valuation is the one that is fascinating.   




Coca-cola valued at $99.5 billion and Facebook at $100 billion left me astonished. A company over a century old being beaten by a 7 (seven) year old social networking company! I always believed in time factor but as time counts on i get convinced that not all parameters of the market adhere to the time factor or FIFO! Both companies have global reach but coke is a product company and fb is a service company.


Twitter, Linkedin, facebook, Baidu and Google are among the players that have shaken my previous cling to the old school approach of time factor. Actually, it seems like tech companies defy time factor most of the times. Other tech companies like Netscape and mySpace, tagged and many more are not as popular as they were and some have already closed their shows so we are still on testing the depth of facebook business model.


With current trends and world evolution old schools is not a way forward anymore. 'Old is gold' will not hold forever! From the citation of Cocacola and facebook any reasonable man would have valued facebook much lower to coke but that's not the case here.However, time will tell whether this kind of valuation was  based on value or on popularity of facebook.


New innovation and discoveries will shape the future world and things will never be same always .Example, Services like Mobile Money Transfer services(Mpesa, tigopesa and Airtel Money) will have a great impact on financial services especially on the large banks. Also online banks pose a great risk to the Brick and mortar banks. Imagine getting paid your salary via mpesa, paying your daladala bus fare via mpesa etc. These trends should be thought well and tapped by visionaries.


Science and technology is taking a toll on the old way. We should ensure that the easiness of doing things and opportunities that comes up with Technology impacts on our l ways of doing things so that we can crunch the time factor as many other guys allover the world.


By Emmanuel Akyoo

Recharge your Battery with Chris Chirubi a Kenyan Multi-Millionaire

 My research this week has come up with great words from a fellow East African Multi-millionaire Chris Chirubi, who is an industrialist, Real estate developer and a media man who runs his own  show in his famous radio, Capital Fm. 

1.“One of the ways I believe you can find meaning of your life is by creating a strategy that you can use through your journey. You need to keep the purpose of your life, front and center as you decide how to spend your time, talents and energy. Remember that without a purpose, life can be hollow.”


2.“One of the most important lessons that has made me be a better employer and businessman is pointing out people’s strengths. I have come to learn that the praise of others may be of use in teaching us, not what we are, but what we ought to be. Enjoy your afternoon.”

3.“If you understand an idea, you can express it so others can understand it. However, if you can’t explain it, you don’t really understand it; and you cannot invest in a business you don’t understand. So friends, do your research well and understand the idea or concept you want to execute before investing in it.”

4.“I arise in the morning torn between a desire to improve the world and a desire to enjoy the world. This makes it hard to plan the day…but because I want to achieve my purpose and make a difference in society, I will stop focusing on the frightful things I see when I take my eyes off my goals and instead fix them there. With that said, I’m off to my meeting.”

5.“One of the most important lessons I have come to learn over the years is that you can’t do today’s job with yesterday’s methods and be in business tomorrow. You must keep learning new methods and ways of doing things to keep abreast with the world’s ever changing trends.”

6.“Business is always a struggle. There are always obstacles and competitors. There is never an open road, except the wide road that leads to failure. Every great success has always been achieved by fight. Every winner has scars….The men who succeed are the efficient few. They are the few who have the ambition and will-power to develop themselves. So choose to be among the few today.”

7.“Whatever opportunity you decide to take should be in line with your vision. When I look at the opportunities that come my way, I often ask myself, will it add value to a business or individual? If I cannot add value or contribute to some sort of growth then I will not take it.”

8.“To prosper soundly in business, you must satisfy not only your customers, but you must lay yourself out to satisfy also the men who make your product and the men who sell it…So if your not doing too well in business, you should consider the above.”

9.“Visualize your past victories while visualizing and anticipating future victories. Planting the seeds of positive expectancy in your mind is the best way to reap.”


10.“One of the most important lessons I have come to learn over the years is that you can’t do today’s job with yesterday’s methods and be in business tomorrow. You must keep learning new methods and ways of doing things to keep abreast with the world’s ever changing trends.”

Its true, without scars  on your face and blisters on your hands there is low chance of making it in this competitive world! 


Regards,
Emmanuel Akyoo